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Fed Economists: CRA, Housing Goals Not to Blame for Financial Crisis

AUG 26, 2011 2:55pm ET
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WASHINGTON — A new Federal Reserve Board report refutes the claim by some that the Community Reinvestment Act and affordable housing goals of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac caused the mortgage crisis.

"We find little evidence that either the CRA or the" affordable housing "goals played a significant role in the subprime crisis," wrote senior Fed economists Robert B. Avery and Kenneth P. Brevoort in the report titled "The Subprime Crisis: Is Government Housing Policy to Blame?".

To test the claim forwarded by several conservatives that the policies are culpable, the central bank essentially compared loans backed by the two policies with those that were not. In one analysis, Fed researchers compared mortgages between CRA-covered and non-CRA-covered institutions. In another, they compared certain geographic areas known to benefit from the CRA and the housing goals set by the government-sponsored enterprises with other areas. In both tests, no link between the two initiatives and higher proportions of troubled loans could be found.

"Using a variety of indirect tests, we find little evidence to support the view that either the CRA or the GSE goals caused excessive or less prudent lending than otherwise would have taken place," Avery and Brevoort wrote.

Rather than find higher delinquencies in areas served by the CRA, the economists wrote, "In fact, the evidence suggests that loan outcomes may have been marginally better in tracts that were served by more CRA-covered lenders than in similar tracts where CRA-covered institutions had less of a footprint.

"Loan purchases by CRA-covered lenders also do not appear to have been associated with riskier lending. Additionally, this analysis found no evidence that either the CRA or the GSE goals contributed to house prices appreciation during the 2001-2006 subprime buildup," they wrote.

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You have to review samples of loans bought in "pool" transactions at Fannie and Freddie. Large pools of loans were acquired, typically near year-end, just to meet housing goals established by HUD for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These pools are where loans significantly deviated from normal standards in large bulk acquisitions. They met loosely worded pool contract requirements, which were far less stringent than normal loan requirements had to meet. Large banks, through operating subsidiaries that sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, would unload junk loans by the hundreds in this method and reviews of the loans by Fannie nd Freddie were completely inadequate (in some cases non-existent) to catch the deals until they defaulted. At default, Fannie and Freddie tried to sell many back, but if they were in a pool transaction it was difficult. This is because the contracts were so poorly wordede that the lenders selling the loan pools had many outs. Thus, taxpayers are paying for the poor practices by Fannie and Freddie. However, it is not true that HUD / CRA housing goal mandates had little impact on the GSE's. Over 50 - 55% of the GSE's new business each year from about 1994 on had to be to low and mod income borrowers (i.e. sub prime typically). These levels may have served a purpose initially, but to never reduce or eliminate this level pushed lenders to make more and more crap loans until they finally had to do "stated-income" "liar" loans just to meet HUD requirements. These were multi-trillion dollar companies that had to also meet stockholder demands to keep growing too. To grow, they had to have over half in low income housing. This was a mess that had CRA/Gov't mandates written all over it. Poor procedures at Fannie and Freddie only exacerbated what gov't initiated.
Posted by Len S | Monday, August 29 2011 at 12:12PM ET
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