Election 2024

Election Preview

Trump Harris

What's at stake for bankers in the 2024 election

Analysts are watching both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for potential regulatory picks, as well as how strongly Trump advocates for policies like tariffs and deportations that could impact the economy, inflation and bankers' prospects.

Markets welcomed the news of a second Trump presidency.

"If you had the Trump trade on for the last six weeks, it's been outstanding," said Ed Al-Hussainy, a rates strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment. "The question is these winning runs don't last forever and is this a good time to take profits."

While the message from investors is broadly positive, there is also a stern warning in the market gyrations.

The surge in Treasury yields underscores concerns that Trump's policies will swell an already bloated budget deficit and reignite an inflation spiral that the Federal Reserve was only just finally quelling in the wake of the pandemic. 

Read about how they reacted here.

247d ago
New York City's Election Night
Bankers favor Trump for regulatory relief
248d ago
Bank group urges bankers to make friends across political spectrum
247d ago
Biden Harris

Vice President Kamala Harris, the most likely choice to replace President Joe Biden on top of the Democratic presidential ticket in November, has a long and complicated history with the banking industry.

July 21
3 Min Read

Multimedia

Capital, liquidity and politics: Silicon Valley Bank one year later
The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic shook the banking system and sparked renewed debate among regulators and lawmakers about deposit insurance, bank capital and liquidity rules and resolvability. One year later, some of those policy debates have fallen by the wayside while others have been amplified.


Additional coverage
Donald Trump speaking at a rally
Tax

The Republican nominee for president wants to renew the provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

August 23
Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif.

Vice President Kamala Harris' pledge to deliver 3 million homes has drawn applause from homebuilders, lenders and affordability advocates, but experts are uncertain how her administration would pull it off.

August 23
Sen. Sherrod Brown

Committee Chair Sherrod Brown is facing a tough election.

August 23
Grocery store

Vice President Kamala Harris could stoke a conflict between bankers and merchants over interchange fees as she targets high food prices as part of her presidential campaign.

August 23
Powell

The new president will shape the direction of banking policy, but because financial regulators are more insulated from politics than many other areas, that transition will be gradual.

August 20
Kamala Harris

Vice President Kamala Harris outlined a raft of populist economic proposals in her first major economic speech since securing the Democratic presidential nomination, including some aimed at lowering housing costs and boosting supply.

August 16