After massive losses in 2008, many on Wall Street expected investors in target-date funds to pull out their assets and put their retirement savings elsewhere.
But according to Morningstar Inc., investors have ignored the losses and resulting criticism and made target-date funds the focus of their retirement savings.
Target-date funds are retirement plans that combine stocks, bonds and other investments, and become more conservative as the investor approaches retirement age.
These mutual funds take the guesswork out for investors by allowing them to choose the year they intend to retire and then setting asset allocations for them.
Morningstar's 2010 Target-Date Series Industry Survey, which includes research on 20 of the largest target-date series, found that more than $45 million in new cash flowed into these funds in 2009.
The survey examined investor returns, which reflect monthly flows in and out of funds, and the returns earned. With target-date funds, investor returns over the past three years far exceeded returns on a traditional mutual fund, according to the survey.
"Target-date funds have been the subject of unprecedented regulatory, governmental and media criticism in the wake of 2008's market slide, but that has not deterred millions of investors from making these funds the centerpiece of their retirement savings," said Laura Pavlenko Lutton, editorial director for Morningstar's mutual fund research group. "Target-date funds have become the retirement vehicle of a generation, and for some good reasons. The funds have structural advantages over traditional mutual funds, including generally lower costs and dynamic asset allocation that automatically grows more conservative as investors age."
Morningstar found that fund companies have responded to the recent criticism of target-date funds.
In general, fund families in the survey have tried to lower fees. And several fund series have attempted to reduce risk by lowering the funds' equity allocations, which is what led to such large losses in 2008.
But Lutton isn't sure that changing the funds' equity exposure is the answer.
"Lower fees directly benefit investors, but changes to the funds' equity exposure could leave the industry open to charges that it's fighting the last market battle, and not positioning the funds correctly for the future," she said. "Indeed, some funds that were aggressively positioned in 2008 were whipsawed when they turned conservative prior to the market rebound in 2009."
At the conference of the American Bankers Association in Phoenix this month there was a lot of talk about the advantage of "open architecture" — managers who are independent of the fund's adviser.
But Morningstar's survey found that there was no advantage or disadvantage to open architecture, even though in the aftermath of the financial crisis some members of Congress and the media criticized fund series that used only proprietary managers.
One area of concern for Morningstar was disclosure and manager investment in the funds.
Morningstar found that many fund families do not meet the minimum levels of disclosure and manager investment recommended by the Investment Company Institute, whose members include mutual funds.
Nor do these funds provide the details necessary to understand the target-date funds' potential risks and rewards.
In addition, fund managers have a relatively low level of personal investment in their funds, meaning their own financial interests are not aligned with shareholders.
"Investors should remain concerned about the flimsy public descriptions of how target-date funds are run and the low absolute levels of manager investments in the funds," Lutton said.
"It's critical for individuals to easily understand their target-date fund's goals, strategy and risks, and it's important for fund managers to have some skin in the game."
Patrick Cunningham, managing director with Manning & Napier Advisors, an asset manager specializing in target-date funds with more than $25 billion of assets under management, said a new generation of funds will emerge in the next year.
Cunningham said he expects the second generation of target-date funds to have more flexible asset allocation; an increased focus on risk-based funds (giving employers the ability to put risk controls in place on behalf of their employees); fewer funds-of-funds, which offered less risk protection during the recent downturn; a larger mix of asset classes in funds; and more visibility and better communication from fund companies.