Times are good for large consumer services companies. Costs are down,  productivity is at record levels, stock market valuations are   stratospheric, and option packages generate gains that border on   egregious. But are these companies sowing the seeds of their destruction?   By failing to understand that consumer expectations are rapidly increasing   while their own service levels are steady (or declining), many consumer   service companies are in danger of leaving a growing performance gap. If   they continue on this trajectory, they may jeopardize their brand names and   leave the door open for non-traditional competitors and new entrants. To   illustrate this point, one need only look at the retail banking industry.                 
Recent performance impressive
  
Banks made enormous improvements in efficiency since the capital crisis  in 1992. They cut waste, reengineered processes, eliminated excess   capacity, and negotiated better prices from vendors. The cost base of FDIC-   insured banks increased 15 percent since 1992, while revenues increased 30   percent. As a result, the expense/revenue ratio (the way the industry   defines productivity) improved from 66 percent in 1992 to 62 percent in   1996. Impressive financial performance has probably been the most important   reason the bank stock index outperformed the S&P 500 composite index over   this period.               
Remarkably, banks achieved these gains with no impact on customer  satisfaction. A 1996 American Banker/Gallup poll revealed that 59 percent   of customers are 'very satisfied' overall with service, up from 57 percent   in 1992. Consumer confidence in the financial health of the banking   industry has skyrocketed. More than three-fourths of bank customers today   rate it "very healthy" or "fairly healthy," up from a rock-bottom 51   percent in 1991 and 1992.           
  
These results may be less comforting than they appear. Many improvements  implemented during this period were internal, easy, and had limited impact   on customers-actions buzzword-prone consultants refer to as "low hanging   fruit." Unfortunately for major banks, this low-hanging fruit has already   been picked.       
Moreover, the results stated above are misleading. In measuring customer  satisfaction, banks focus on overall measures. However, the top 20 percent   of customers contribute 80 to 110 percent of a typical bank's profits.   Banks found that satisfaction of these customers is lower than average   (they're more demanding) and has fallen noticeably in the past three years.   Furthermore, the research methods banks employ are simplistic. They don't   force customers to force order rank which attributes they really care   about, or make trade-offs between price and service, and provide little   insight into how customers react to product feature/price/service level   combinations. Many institutions are underinformed on critical issues   concerning consumer needs and preferences.                   
Despite the above, many bank executives drive their organizations to  improve the productivity ratio. Cheered on by Wall Street analysts, senior   executives publicly announce their intention to drive ratios below 50   percent in the next several years and privately wonder if their targets are   too conservative. The will is present, but the skill to improve   productivity without eroding the perceived performance gap may be lacking.         
  
In addition, bank executives feel pressured to adopt a short-term  mindset. There is enormous focus by Wall Street analysts on quarter-by-   quarter improvements in productivity, so banks must limit investment   spending to levels that can be "funded" through other savings. This near-   term mentality, for example, has made it difficult to make strategic   investments in alternative distribution channels. Consumers are shifting   transactions away from branches. A growing number look for superior   capabilities and find that major banks don't measure up to telephone   financial services leaders such as Fidelity.               
Meanwhile, research suggests that customers, particularly the most  profitable ones, are likely to become more demanding. Market research   indicates that consumers have less spare time and want services as error-   free as possible, quick resolution of problems, and fast turnaround on   information requests and product applications.       
So what's the danger? If banks continue on their trajectory they could  suffer in three ways. First, they may tarnish their brand names. Most major   banks have surprisingly strong brand names in their markets, but are   positioned as top-quality, full-service providers. As consumer perception   of the performance gap increases, their brand names will deteriorate.   Increasing spending on brand advertising, the knee-jerk reaction of many   banks, won't work if consumers' experience doesn't measure up. Second,   banks could be leaving themselves open to poaching from financial services   industry leaders or fellow major banks deciding to take a more customer-   focused, customer-oriented path. Finally, they are making it more likely   that their most profitable consumers will get frustrated and give non-   traditional players a try. It would be a shame to look back five to ten   years from now and realize that banks played into Bill Gates's hand.                       
A customer-driven way forward
  
Retail banks can keep improving performance if they find a customer-  driven way of making management decisions. To do this, executives should: 
Invest in new approaches to understanding buyer values. A few leading  banks are experimenting with tools and techniques. Many of these are used   by consumer product companies and have been employed, to great benefit, by   leading monoline credit card companies. These tools and techniques help   companies identify customer segments, understand what they care about, and   what they will pay for product feature/service level combinations. This   insight allows companies to make better decisions about where to maintain   what they have, what to cut with little risk, and what they must improve to   keep up with consumer expectations.               
Emphasize shareholder value creation as the primary metric.  Expense/revenue is a valid measure simple to understand and use, but should   not be the overriding metric. Once again, shareholder value approaches are   used elsewhere, particularly in leading industrial companies. Typically,   shareholder value measurement is introduced gradually, starting at the top   of the organization.         
Get personally involved. Banking executives are often reluctant to  solicit direct customer feedback. Senior executives of the best consumer   service organizations instead relish such one-on-one discussions. Upon   joining American Express, one senior executive said that he learned more   from listening in on a half-day's worth of inbound phone calls than from   reading reams of internal reports.         
Leverage customer insights to break through the revenue wall.  Investing to improve customer understanding will also provide information   and tools to design products and services with high appeal for a segment of   customers and provide attractive economic returns for the bank. The leading   credit card companies have proven that even a r simple product like a   credit card, which larger banks had concluded was becoming a commodity, can   be positioned in different ways to different customers. Similar   opportunities may exist in other products.             
A successful transition is a win-win situation, enabling an institution  to improve customer satisfaction, achieve better productivity ratios, and   improve bottom line profits. It's time to close the gap.   
Gordon Cliff, partner, financial services industry practice, Andersen  Consulting LLP.