Monetary policy

A federal judge's ruling in the Custodia lawsuit settles — for now — the question of whether the Federal Reserve has the discretion to grant or deny a bank access to its payment settlement system. But to keep it, the Fed needs to articulate the danger it's protecting against.

D.A. Davidson Director of Wealth Management Research James Ragan will review and analyze the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said at the Federal Open Market Committee press conference Wednesday that a slower pace of reduction could help the central bank avoid shrinking its holdings further without disrupting the banking system.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr Wednesday downplayed the significance of recent turmoil at New York Community Bank, noting that liquidity and stability in the banking system is in "much better shape than it was last spring."

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates three times this year, some say as early as March, if data alllow those moves. Following the Jan. 30-31 FOMC meeting, Garrett Melson, portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions, will provide his take on the meeting and Chair Jerome Powell's press conference.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested that a rate cut is coming, but cast doubt about whether the central bank would see enough data suggesting inflation is sufficiently tamed for interest rates to come down at their next meeting.

Despite widespread impressions that the economy is proving resilient and a "soft landing" is possible, banks are decidedly pessimistic about the economy.

John Williams, who also serves as vice chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, does not expect the Federal Reserve to slow its balance sheet runoff anytime soon.

The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and former manager of the central bank's open market account said a slower approach to balance sheet reduction may be warranted sooner rather than later.

Federal Reserve officials point to overnight reverse repurchase agreement activity as an indication of excess liquidity, which the central bank is working to reduce. But some analysts say that excess liquidity may be drying up faster than expected, with important implications for banks.

The Federal Open Market Committee meets Dec. 12 and 13 and in addition to their statement, they will issue a Summary of Economic Projections.

The Federal Open Market Committee's Summary of Economic Projections probably won't offer the 130 basis points of cuts next year that the market expects.

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve and monetary policy. Join us as Scott Anderson, chief U.S. economist and managing director at BMO Economics, breaks down the latest FOMC meeting.

Often a harbinger of recessions, the fact that short-term yields are higher than long-term is not inherently bad, Federal Reserve Gov. Chris Waller said Tuesday, noting that in this case it could prove that market expectations are anchored.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he expects the final version of the Basel III endgame reforms to garner "broad support" after comments are received and addressed.

The Federal Reserve governor said consumer credit delinquency is returning to pre-pandemic levels, indicating a potential softening of economic activity.

The Federal Reserve is expected to pause at its September meeting. Jeff Timlin, a managing partner at Sage Advisory, will join us on Sept. 21 to provide analysis of the meeting.

In spite of rising borrowing costs, the US economy has shown surprising resilience. The labor market added 336,000 jobs in September, according to fresh data published Friday.

"The inflation rate is still too high, the level of inflation remains high, but at least we're seeing progress on it," Mester said Friday during an interview with CNN International.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen acknowledged that a surprisingly robust economy has led investors to assume that the Federal Reserve would maintain high interest rates over a longer period, but said longer-term drags on the economy could upend that calculus.