COSTA MESA, Calif. -
The Experian-Gallup Personal Credit Index survey found 47% of consumers believe a housing bubble and collapse of housing prices is very likely (16%) or somewhat likely (31%) in their local residential real-estate market within the next three years. That's up from 37% of Americans who expressed similar sentiments in May 2005 and the 42% who said the same in the same survey.
According to Experian-Gallup, fears of a potential housing price collapse are greatest in the West (52%) and the East (49%) but lower in the Midwest (41%) and the South (44%). Consumers with annual household incomes of $75,000 or more are somewhat less fearful of a collapse in housing prices (42%) than are those with incomes of $40,000 a year but less than $75,000 a year (50%) or those making less than $40,000 a year (48%). Renters think that such a drop in housing prices is more likely (57%) than do homeowners (43%), the survey found.
"Housing market conditions may not have reached bottom at this point, with 57% of renters thinking there is the potential for a price collapse in their local areas over the next few years and 18% of all Americans expecting prices to decline during the year ahead," said Ty Taylor, president of Experian Consumer Direct. "Still, there is reason for optimism given the local nature of the residential real-estate market and the price resilience it creates, as reflected by the 47% of Americans who expect housing prices to increase over the next 12 months and the 33% who expect them to remain the same."
Among The Other Findings:
* About one in five consumers (18%) think the average price of houses in their local area actually will decrease over the next year. This is up from just 5% who felt this way in May 2005 and 11% in April 2006, the survey found. Expectations for a decrease in average housing prices are greatest in the West (23% ) and the East (22%)-areas experiencing the sharpest run-up in prices during recent years-and less pronounced in the Midwest (16%) and the South (11%).
* Twenty percent of consumers with annual household incomes of $75,000 or more say they expect housing prices to decline over the coming year, compared with 18% of those with incomes of $40,000 a year but less than $75,000 a year and 15% of those making less than $40,000 a year.
* One in four homeowners say they have a first mortgage and a home-equity loan and/or line of credit. One in three homeowners under the age of 50 have this combination of loans, compared with 25% of those 50 years of age but younger than 65. Only 8% of homeowners 65 years or older have a first mortgage and a home-equity loan/line. Thirty-six percent of homeowners with annual incomes of $75,000 or more have a first mortgage and a home-equity loan/line. One in four homeowners (24%) with incomes of $40,000 a year but less than $75,000 have this combination of loans. Only 15% of homeowners making less than $40,000 a year have such a loan combination.
* Thirty-six percent of consumers say they obtained their home-equity loan/line to finance home improvements or repairs-down from 43% in April 2006, the companies reported. Conversely, one in six consumers (17%) report obtaining a home-equity loan/line to pay off their credit cards and/or to consolidate their debts-up from 14% in April 2006. One in five consumers with an annual household income of less than $75,000 a year got a home-equity loan/line to pay off their credit cards and/or consolidate their debt, while 14% of those making $75,000 or more report getting their home-equity financing for this same purpose.
For info: www.PersonalCreditIndex.com.
