PayPal CEO: Company's focus 'has not been clear'

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PayPal CEO Alex Chriss says the company will invest in AI and other fast growing tech.
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PayPal may allocate its resources in fewer areas as it attempts to reverse nearly two years of stock declines while it faces an uncertain economic environment. 

"I'm walking in with my eyes wide open," said Alex Chriss during PayPal's earnings call Wednesday afternoon. "There are challenges to tackle and we have work to do." Chriss became PayPal's CEO in late September, replacing the retiring Dan Schulman. PayPal faces competition from companies such as Stripe and Block (formerly Square) and large bank technology vendors that are also payment processors, such as FIS and Fiserv. To compete with these firms while trying to boost financial performance, PayPal will likely deemphasize some parts of its business.

"Our cost base is too high and it is slowing us down," Chriss said. "The company's focus has not been clear."

For the quarter ending September 30, PayPal reported revenue of $7.4 billion, up 9% from about $6.8 billion the prior year. That beat analysts' projections of $7.38 billion, according to Yahoo Finance, which cited data from LSEG. Earnings per share were $1.30, better than analysts' projections of $1.23. PayPal projected profit for the full year to be $4.98 per share, up from PayPal's earlier projection of $4.95 and better than analysts' projections of $4.92. 

Total payments volume was $387 billion in the quarter, up 13% from the prior year's $383 billion, and better than analysts' projections of $378 billion. PayPal attributed the performance to resilient consumer spending, which has held strong despite concerns of a recession and high (but falling) inflation. Mastercard, Visa, American Express and Synchrony also reported strong consumer spending in their most recent earnings reports. On the down side, PayPal predicted earnings of $1.36 a share for the fourth quarter. That's the midpoint of PayPal's earlier outlook. Analysts had projected fourth-quarter earnings of $1.40  per share.

PayPal's new leadership faces old problems

Chriss, who previously ran Intuit's small business and self-employed unit, takes over the payments company as its stock has fallen nearly 30% this year. PayPal is currently trading at about $51 per share, down from its all-time high of about $291 per share in spring 2021. PayPal grew quickly during the pandemic as merchants and consumers moved online, but its stock has fallen as e-commerce growth corrected once the pandemic eased. In PayPal's most recent earnings report, it showed growth in revenue but softness in lending. 

To respond, PayPal has cut jobs. More recently, PayPal has deployed its own stablecoin, and increased investment in artificial intelligence. On Wednesday afternoon, PayPal received a crypto asset license in the U.K. The U.K. is still working on cryptocurrency regulations, but PayPal's approval means it can offer services in the nation, providing it complies with the Financial Conduct Authority's guidance on consumer protection.   

"PayPal is a global force in payments and is well-positioned in acceptance, money movement, merchant finance, and consumer payments," said Brian Riley, co-head of payments and director of credit and risk advisory at Javelin Strategy & Research, adding that in the current business cycle, the company needs to protect its accounts, focus on the P2P market and extract additional earnings from its existing product line.

"PayPal still has a solid place in payments, but faces stiff competition, and needs to engineer their overall business strategy," Riley said. 

A plan for a leaner PayPal

PayPal recently sold Happy Returns, its logistics business, to UPS. Chriss mentioned Happy Returns as an example of PayPal focusing on businesses outside of its core payments model. "We have a lot of acquisitions that we have done over the past few years. There is a lot of duplication," Chriss said. "We also have a lot of manual work and we can invest in automation." 

Chriss has spent his first month meeting with customers, partners and investors. The result is a plan that will change how PayPal develops new products for consumers, small businesses and enterprise clients. PayPal will also change how it reports its results to investors, and Chriss said most of these changes will be detailed at the company's next earnings call in February.

PayPal will "refocus" its consumer product and will soon launch a new "end to end" experience with the checkout at the center. "This will bring value to each purchase," Chriss said.  

In the consumer segment, for example, PayPal will use its database of merchant inventory, payments and reward data and AI to power a shopping recommendation engine and incentive marketing. In its business segment, PayPal will expedite the development of new features for PayPal Complete Payments, a product that offers payments and other merchant services for online marketplaces and other digital merchants. PayPal is using consumer data to improve the autofilling of checkout forms. 

Generative AI, or a form of AI that can produce original content, will play a major role, Chriss said. PayPal can use its network of consumers and merchants to analyze data for spending habits, inventory and other behaviors as part of product development.  

"We can use generative AI in a responsible way to bring consumers and merchants together," Chriss said. 

In a research note, analysts at William Blair said PayPal's long-term opportunities remain substantial as the company has evolved from a traditional checkout button to a robust platform of end-to-end solutions for consumers and merchants.

"While early, the company appears keenly focused on leveraging its vast amount of data to improve operational efficiency and we are encouraged by management's narrowed focus on profitable growth," William Blair's analysts said, noting PayPal has more than 428 million active users on the platform including 35 million merchants, and has $1.5 trillion of annual payment volume.

PayPal is adding other new executives beyond Chriss. On Wednesday it announced Jamie Miller would be executive vice president and chief financial officer effective November 6, replacing Gabrielle Rabinovitch, the company's acting CFO. Rabinovitch will remain with PayPal. Miller was most recently global CFO of EY, where she led the separation and IPO of that firm's strategy, tax and consulting business. Earlier in her career, she was CEO of Cargill.

"Jamie is an accomplished CFO and business executive who has worked across many industries and guided both public and private companies through dynamic environments and meaningful transformation during her impressive 33-year career," Chriss said. PayPal will hire additional senior executives to bolster its talent in the coming months, Chriss said. 

"This is a growth company with great prospects," Chriss said. "We must execute better with higher velocity." 

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