Tariffs in Banking

Tariffs are influencing the banking sector as bankers navigate today's economic volatility. Tariffs are introducing complexities that impact lending, investment strategies, and overall financial stability across areas of the financial world. As a banker, it is essential that you understand the many ways that tariffs could impact your organization, including escalating trade tensions and shifting regulatory landscapes. Explore our comprehensive coverage, including news, expert analysis, videos, webinars, and market research to stay up-to-date in real-time on the latest tariffs news and insights for financial professionals.

Economy

US-China tariff truce gives banks hope amid uncertainty

A 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs between the U.S. and China boosted the near-term economic outlook for banks, but tensions and uncertainty around trade barriers remain high.

By Kyle Campbell

May 12
Politics and policy

Fed's Kugler: Tariffs present stagflation-like pressure

Federal Reserve Gov. Adriana Kugler said in a speech in Dublin that trade barriers could soon affect prices and slow down growth while increasing uncertainty in 2025.

By Ebrima Santos Sanneh

May 12
Payments

Inside Stripe's response to Trump's tariffs

As it rolls out dozens of new products to up its game in stablecoins and artificial intelligence, the payment company is also working with sellers wishing to expand activities involving non-U.S. corridors.

By John Adams

May 9
Investment banking

Tariffs, uncertainty likely to squeeze Wall Street bonus pay

Incentive pay for investment bankers at major firms is expected to fall this year by 13% from 2021 levels, according to a consulting firm's report. But stock traders may reap the rewards of market volatility.

By Catherine Leffert

May 9
Inflation

Fed's Barr expects high inflation, slow growth from tariffs

Federal Reserve Gov. Michael Barr said global supply chain disruptions and inflation caused by tariffs could weigh heaviest on small businesses, especially those with little access to credit.

By Kyle Campbell

May 9
HSBC

HSBC offers Trump tariff loan to cover clients' import costs

The London-headquartered bank is extending its TradePay platform to directly cover the cost of tariff payments, allowing importers to effectively borrow to meet the increased expenses involved in shipping products into the U.S.

By Harry Wilson

May 7
Economy

Bessent says tariff negotiations could wrap by year end

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he expects negotiations with trading partners over tariffs to conclude by the end of the year but acknowledged that talks with China had not yet begun.

By Ebrima Santos Sanneh

May 6

Banks on deck for quarterly earnings amid tariffs mayhem: Live coverage

The first three months of the year coincide with the start of President Donald Trump's second term in office. Investors are likely to be more interested in banks' outlooks amid swings in tariff policy than the first-quarter results.

Live Updates

Resources

The latest American Banker research and discussion on Tariffs

Frequently Asked Questions:

What proactive measures are banks using to mitigate the impact of tariffs?

Trade finance services and corporate client advisory on supply chain adjustments allow banks to lessen the impact of tariffs. For example, Citizens Financial’s trade finance unit helped companies accelerate inventory purchases and use letters of credit to secure transactions ahead of new duties. Many banks are also using hedging strategies and leveraging deregulation windfalls to address higher costs.

How should banks recalibrate interest rate forecasting and monetary policy expectations amid tariff-induced economic disruptions?

Banks can incorporate tariff-driven inflation and growth scenarios into their interest rate models and maintain flexibility in policy outlooks. Institutions are closely tracking Federal Reserve signals in this volatile trade environment, as tariffs can both slow growth and raise prices. This can put the Fed “in a quandary,” requiring banks to update their asset-liability strategies to account for potential rate cuts or even hikes.

What advanced compliance and technology strategies are banks using to optimize cross-border payments and trade finance?

Banks are deploying sophisticated payment analytics and real-time treasury tools to manage cross-border flows amid shifting tariffs. BNY Mellon, for example, notes clients are using predictive cash-flow analytics to navigate uncertainty. Institutions can also improve compliance automation by integrating systems for instant sanctions/tariff list updates. This can ensure cross-border transactions meet changing trade rules.

What are best practices in risk modeling and scenario analysis for banks to navigate tariff-related risks?

Leading banks can look to bolster scenario analysis capabilities to account for tariff shocks. Banks can run stress tests on portfolios with heavy exposure to tariff-impacted sectors such as automotive manufacturing and agriculture as well as model multiple trade war outcomes. Analysts also advise enhancing “playbooks” for varied economic scenarios and properly pricing new loans for added risk. For example, this could mean using forward-looking models to adjust credit loss provisions and capital plans.

How can banks prepare for long-term industry trends driven by tariffs and trade uncertainty?

Banks can prepare through incorporating trade policy shifts into growth investments as well as technology investments. This includes diversifying supply chain financing, investing in local manufacturing projects, and strengthening presence in resilient markets. Industry leaders like JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon are watching the “restructuring of trade and tariffs” as an inflationary force shaping future strategy.

Which banking operational units should banks prioritize for tariff exposure assessments?

Commercial lending divisions, including those that finance manufacturers, agriculture, and exporters are a priority. These units will most directly face clients impacted by tariffs. Other units to review exposure risks include specialized trade finance and supply chain finance.

How is artificial intelligence (AI) helping banks address tariff-related challenges?

AI enables banks to respond faster and more efficiently to tariffs. Machine learning models can recalibrate pricing and supply chain finance strategies as trade policies shift. Generative AI tools can shorten the time needed to update payment systems for new tariff rules update payment systems for new tariff rules. AI-enabled platforms can make compliance a proactive function by automating real-time screening of transactions against changing trade restrictions.