ORLANDO, Fla. - (03/17/05) -- One expert is anticipating a sharprise in interest rates in the near term, and that could mean abursting of the so-called housing market bubble. "We expect aninterest rate spike in the next three to six months," DwightJohnston, VP-economic and market research with WesCorp, toldattendees of the Financial Solutions Symposium here hosted byWestCorp and Callahan & Associates. That upward spike won't bebecause of any action by the Fed, he suggested; rather it will be achange in psychology. "We're going to wake up one day and justdecide rates are too low," Johnston offered. He said people aregoing to come to the realization that housing costs--and the factpeople can't afford their own homes-does matter. "I believe thebubble will burst. The bigger question is where and when," he said,noting some parts of the country may be insulated from the bubble'sburst.
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The Cleveland-based bank is projecting steady growth in net interest income even as credit losses remain manageable. But Chairman and CEO Chris Gorman also said that he thinks a recession is likely.
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The first-quarter increase involved commercial real estate loans, including some problematic multifamily loans and an office credit, but none of the criticized loans were to consumers, officials at the Dallas company say. Further CRE deterioration is anticipated.
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The Detroit-based company is exploring ways to make more consumer auto loans without running afoul of stricter capital standards that are expected from the Federal Reserve. Possible approaches include more securitizations and the use of credit risk transfers.
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The House Financial Services Committee also sent to the full House two bipartisan bills, including one that would prevent large banks from opting out of having to recognize Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income in regulatory capital.
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Charge-offs and nonperforming loans rose at the Georgia bank in the first quarter. But it blamed the problem on one large client and said the matter has been resolved.
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Amid healthy first-quarter loan growth and improving credit quality, Discover Financial Services slashed its profits by $800 million to offset remediation costs from a 16-year period when it overcharged certain merchants.
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