The changes overtaking the banking industry are throwing many historical assumptions and rules for success out the window. Yet when bankers gauge their prospects for long-term health-how their institutions will look in three to five years-they blindly adhere to old ways of analysis.

Accounting models are woefully inadequate to uncover the key components of a bank's sustainable strategic momentum-its ability to capitalize on future opportunities. Traditional accounting models are snapshots of what a bank was, not what it will be.

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