Lenders to the battered long-term health-care industry will be watching  Vencor Inc. closely over the next few months as the Louisville, Ky.-based   nursing home operator tries to sort out its debt woes.   
Vencor is expected to unveil a final reorganization plan in the next  few weeks. 
  
If the plan is approved by the court, the company could emerge from the  protection it sought this week under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy   Code.   
Vencor's fate is of particular interest to lenders that backed the  company with $1.7 billion in syndicated credit lines in 1997. 
  
Though many of those banks have sold off the company's loans at a  discount during the past two years, some still hold millions of dollars in   loans to about a dozen similarly struggling health-care firms.   
In all, 90 loans worth $22 billion were generated in 1998 for the  health-care industry, according to Thomson Financial Securities Data.   Unlike the known risks of leveraged loans, many of the credits outstanding   to troubled health-care companies are investment grade.     
Vencor, for instance, was only charged a maximum of the London  interbank offered rate plus 68.75 basis points -- less than half the   premium charged to companies deemed below investment grade, according to   loan documentation.     
  
To say Vencor's reorganization efforts are attracting attention is an  understatement. In addition to existing media coverage, a New Jersey   company has started a newsletter, Vencor Bankruptcy News, to be published   as details emerge in the case.     
With 293 nursing homes, "Vencor is the largest long-term health-care  provider to have sought protection from creditors and relief from its debts   under Chapter 11," said Peter A. Chapman, president of Bankruptcy   Creditors' Service Inc. and editor of the newsletter. "Clearly, assuming it   succeeds, Vencor's workout will serve as a model for the restructuring of   many troubled companies in the health-care industry."         
What sets Vencor's apart from other bankruptcies is the company's  position as a leader in an industry swamped by overwhelming debt and   suddenly rising costs. Companies such as Vencor, Integrated Health Services   Inc., and Sun Healthcare Group Inc. were rapidly expanding through mergers   when Congress overhauled the Medicare payments system in May 1998.       
When the payments dried up, Vencor attempted to cut costs by evicting  Medicare patients from its facilities. The result was a public outcry and a   public relations disaster.   
  
Caught in the middle were banks and bondholders who suddenly found  their investments at risk. To its credit, analysts say, Vencor split up its   holdings in early 1998.   
Vencor Inc. was spun off as a nursing home operator. Ventas Inc., its  sister company, was a real estate investment trust that leased property to   Vencor.   
Vencor was aware that the payments issue would come up, said Primila  Peters, an analyst with KDP Investment Advisors in Vermont. In late 1997   "they issued an earnings warning and decided to split its business. A lot   of other players did not even acknowledge change was coming."     
Vencor also drew heavily on its $1.7 billion in credit lines syndicated  in March 1997 by NationsBank Corp. Other banks, such as J.P. Morgan & Co.,   Chase Manhattan Corp., PNC Bank Corp., and Bank of New York Corp., stepped   forward with commitments between $68 million and $100 million each.     
But the split-up did not work. While Ventas performed reasonably well  with its real estate holdings, Vencor took a bigger hit than expected.   Government projections were that the new Medicare payment system would save   taxpayers about $9 billion annually.     
A year later, savings have been estimated at closer to $16 billion. For  some companies, revenues declined 50%. 
"Vencor just didn't know how severe it was going to be," Ms. Peters  said. 
With earnings slowing, the company defaulted on both its loans and  bonds in early 1999. By July, management and creditors were at the table.   This week, the company received a court's permission to receive $100   million in debtor-in-possession financing from Morgan Guaranty Trust Co.   Ventas agreed to reduce rent for Vencor, and a preliminary reorganization   plan was disclosed.         
Under the plan, lenders would receive $320 million of the remaining  $420 million in loans extended and a 56% equity stake in the company.   Bondholders are to receive a 29% equity stake, according to details   released by Ventas. For lenders, the plan looks good, according to Ms.   Peters. Banks are to receive 76% of the loan's face value -- a premium to   the 70% being paid in the secondary market -- and a controlling stake in   the company.           
Now, said KDP's Ms. Peters, creditors must await the settlement of a  suit against the company by the U.S. government. In 1998, Vencor was   accused of Medicare fraud.   
"People will look at how... these government-related settlements come  out," Ms. Peters said. "But the real interest in Vencor is the timeliness   -- it's a model."