As Visa U.S.A. looks ahead to the fifth year of its National Football  League sponsorship, the future of the marquee alliance is up in the air. 
Last week, when Visa unveiled its marketing campaign for the fall  season, the last under its current contract, it would not say whether it   planned to renew the deal. The NFL's popularity may make this the most   coveted U.S. sports sponsorship, and Visa executives say the affiliation   has boosted their brand.       
  
Industry sources said Visa spent $40 million on the five-year  sponsorship, but the price tag is likely going up. 
"Six months ago I would have said Visa will for sure renew its  sponsorship," said Steven J. Smith, president of S.J. Smith & Associates in   Scarsdale, N.Y. "But the primary value of a sponsorship is at the brand   level, and as issuers are questioning more and more the association brand   versus issuer brand, these things come into question."       
  
Mr. Smith was referring to the issue that came to the fore recently when  top executives of Citigroup publicly complained that association spending   and marketing efforts were at cross-purposes with the Citi brand. The   disagreement led Citigroup chairman John Reed and consumer bank executive   Robert Lipp to leave the Visa board, and Citigroup intends to issue more   MasterCards as a result.         
Richard G. Barlow, president of Frequency Marketing Inc. in Milford,  Ohio, said he thought Visa would continue the NFL tie, and said it would be   "a good strategic move."   
If Visa bowed out, a competing brand such as American Express or  Discover could swoop in, and "that's not going to help any (bank) issuer,"   Mr. Barlow said.   
  
Visa said the NFL sponsorship has contributed to banks' bottom lines.  The association points to NFL-sponsored research that found 79% of the 70   million NFL fans are most loyal to products and services provided by NFL   sponsors.     
"The NFL represents the largest fan base of all sports in America," said  Michael Lynch, vice president of event marketing at Visa. "We have been   able to capture this fan loyalty to drive incremental Visa usage."   
Visa said it is putting promotional materials together far ahead of  football season, to give merchants and member banks ample time to use them. 
MBNA Corp. has its own sponsorship deal for exclusive rights to market  credit cards in football stadiums-and to use NFL logos on cards-until 2004. 
  
Though Wilmington, Del.-based MBNA is predominantly a MasterCard issuer,  its NFL cards are Visa-branded. 
In light of that arrangement, some experts question how useful Visa's  NFL program is to other banks. Visa said all members can use NFL logos in   promotional material, just not on their cards.   
Mr. Smith said the availability of MBNA's cobranded NFL cards made it  difficult for Visa "to translate the program from a brand level to the   issuer level."   
Mr. Barlow of Frequency Marketing contended that the program "works for  the other issuers by strengthening the Visa brand." 
Visa's latest campaign is characteristically splashy. A "Once-in-a-  Lifetime NFL Fantasies" contest gives Visa cardholders a chance to choose a   football-related "fantasy" that might include playing catch with an NFL   quarterback, watching a playoff game at home with an NFL player,   participating in the Super Bowl halftime show, or acting as an honorary   coach at the Pro Bowl game in Hawaii.         
The sweepstakes will run in September and October. Every Visa purchase  will be entered in a lottery, and one winner will be chosen each week. 
For the first time, all aspects of the NFL campaign will run under one  tag line: "Visa. It's everywhere NFL fans want to be." One logo-a picture   of a fan holding up a handwritten sign with the tag line-will appear on all   promotional material.     
After reviewing three agencies, Visa chose BBDO New York, its agency of  record, to lead the entire campaign, with some parts to be handled by   BBDO's sister companies. In previous years, various agencies were   responsible for different parts of the campaign.     
"Our focus this year was how can we make all of our efforts more  synergistic," said Rebecca Saeger, executive vice president of advertising   and marketing services at Visa in San Francisco. "We've never done   something where everywhere a football fan looks, they're reminded of Visa's   affiliation with the game."       
On-line advertising will play a larger role. Visa expects that a  noticeable part of the $3 billion of NFL merchandise sold annually will be   purchased over the Internet.   
Visa is setting up links to on-line stores that sell NFL memorabilia and  that will tout Visa as the preferred payment choice. The association's Web   site will promote the sweepstakes and other aspects of the campaign.   
Three commercials will run throughout the season, all featuring NFL  fans. One will advertise the fantasy promotion, and the others will depict   Visa's acceptance at locations relevant to football fans.   
To encourage merchants to display point of sale promotional materials,  Visa is offering retailers three trips to the Pro Bowl in Hawaii as prizes. 
"A lot of our job is getting the merchants excited about this and  helping them see the power it has to drive their business," Ms. Saeger   said.