Fed's stress test results to be published June 28

Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday that its annual stress test results will be published June 28, the first results to be released since a string of bank failures this spring.
Bloomberg News

WASHINGTON — For the first time since multiple bank runs felled a handful of large regional banks, the Federal Reserve will release the results of annual bank stress tests on June 28. 

While the scenarios for the 2023 stress tests were announced before the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the results will still be more carefully watched than they have previously because of the recent turmoil in the banking sector as market watchers continue to assess the health of large regional banks in particular. 

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr has said that the central bank is considering how to shore up the health of banks, specifically large regional banks, in the aftermath of three of the largest bank failures in U.S. history. Banks of that size — between $100 billion and $250 billion of assets — participate every other year. 

This year, 23 banks were assessed in the stress tests. 

This year's tests also include an exploratory market shock, applied to the trading books of global systemically important banks. While those results won't be factored into capital requirements, they will be used to evaluate the resiliency of the banks and could impact how future tests are done. 

This year's severely adverse scenario includes a 6.5 percentage-point unemployment rate increase to 10%, widening corporate bond spread and collapse of asset prices. 

It also includes residential and commercial real estate value declining by 38% and 40%, respectively. The value of commercial real estate remains a major concern for banks and their regulators

The severity of the stress tests have previously drawn criticism from banks and their advocates. Last year, they complained that the scenarios were intentionally more difficult than 2021, which resulted in higher stress capital requirements across the board. 

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