Digital currency, especially Bitcoin, picked up in popularity this year as the concept began garnering positive attention from payment players — but a series of negative incidents kept the skepticism alive as well.
"Digital currencies still have not been totally accepted by the payments space," says Jon Holmquist, head of marketing at Coinabul, a company that exchanges bitcoins for silver or gold. "The industry is a little hesitant to move off of the rails of the banking system and onto new unsteady currencies."
By early next year, Chris Larsen, founder of eLoan and Prosper,
"We see the time has come for virtual currencies," Larsen says.
Banks already see opportunities to expand their services with digital currencies.
After the Bitcoin market started gaining traction, other digital currencies came to the forefront, including Facebook Inc.'s digital currency,
And there's no doubt that virtual currencies, such as Bitcoin, Facebook Credits and World of Warcraft gold, have captured an audience. Twenty-one percent of social network users have earned or purchased a virtual currency,
This year was the
But digital money's shine is fading.
Even in early 2012, merchants, such as
Bitcoin has been a bit volatile, plus regulation and hacks have stunted the growth of digital currency businesses. One Bitcoin exchange,
A month later
Bitcoin's biggest challenges are often its own.
While the digital currency can perform the same functions as financial institutions and other financial companies, such as PayPal and Western Union,
Complex infrastructure is also impairing Bitcoin's growth. Consumers must research the currency on their own, find a reputable exchange and wallet and secure a funding method.
"The main thing holding bitcoin back from greater adoption is simplicity of applications and wallet management," says Jon Matonis, a payments industry veteran who evangelizes for Bitcoin on his blog, The Monetary Future. "Average users do not want to have to worry about so many various addresses and the online security/encryption/backups of their wallets."
Part of Bitcoin's challenge has been the negative connotation of much of the coverage the currency received by mainstream news outlets. A blackmailer, claiming to have Mitt and Ann Romney's tax records, demanded the equivalent of $1 million in bitcoins
"But each patch of rain was followed by a patch of sunshine, be it
Matonis shares Holmquist's positive outlook.
"Remember, Bitcoin is only four years old now so what we have seen to date is extraordinary for a bootstrapped currency," Matonis says.
It is possible that Bitcoin and other digital currencies will
In the last couple months of 2012, Bitcoin and other virtual currencies clawed their way out of the slump with a growing number of merchants and a move towards regulation.
Like Bitcoin itself, the news about the currency fluctuates dramatically from day to day. While some industry analysts think anonymous digital currency is only for drug dealers and gamblers, more merchants are signing on to the experiment.
"The next year is going to be filled with partnerships, competition, and a constant struggle between convenience and security," Holmquist says. "A lot of growth was made in the development of infrastructure around decentralized digital currencies."
But while next year will likely bring more attention to digital currency, 2013 may also bring more regulation.
"Authorities worldwide will attempt to shoehorn Bitcoin and other digital currencies into the existing Anti Money Laundering/Know Your Customer regulatory framework without actually defining it as a currency," Matonis says.
"Digital currencies are still in relatively uncharted territory," he says. "Whether the regulation will be friendly or not is the big question."











